Probabilistic source characterization in water distribution systems with transient flows. David Wagner Abstract: Water system sensors are becoming increasingly more efficient and effective at discovering water quality changes in distribution systems. This paper describes a method for determining the source of the water quality change. We use publicly available software (EPANET) and a conditioning method to probabilistically locate a contamination source. Prior work has shown that a similar method is effective for a simple distribution system with a steady-state flow field. In this work, we demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach in more complex distribution systems (i.e. containing tanks, valves, and/or pumps) under transient flow conditions.